Rough Climb Over Tampa Bay
Carburetor ice, partial power loss, and a water-surrounded departure — the decision window is seconds
The scenario
Departing Albert Whitted Airport (KSPG), St. Petersburg, FL — Runway 07, climbing out on a 062° heading. Elevation 7 ft MSL; the runway is essentially at sea level.
It is a hazy Florida afternoon in late spring: OAT 28°C, dew point 22°C, altimeter 29.92. Scattered clouds at 2,500 ft, light rain shower two miles to the northeast. Visibility 8 SM. Classic Gulf Coast conditions — warm, moist, and exactly the environment the FAA icing probability chart marks as 'serious icing at glide power, moderate icing at cruise power.'
You are 350 ft AGL, climbing through 68 KIAS (Vy, best rate of climb), heading 062°, when the engine begins to run rough. Power is noticeably down — the tachometer is dropping. The water of Tampa Bay fills the windscreen ahead. KSPG's tower is part-time (0700–2100) and is open; you are in Class D airspace.
Aircraft: Cessna 150M, solo, full fuel (5.5 gal usable per side), within limits. Carbureted Continental O-200-A, 100 hp, fixed-pitch prop, steam panel, fuel selector on BOTH. Nothing was written up; the airplane was airworthy at departure.
Pilot: you — a Private pilot, current, roughly 200 hours total. You did not apply carburetor heat during the run-up because the engine ran smoothly. You did not apply it after takeoff because you were heads-down on the climb and the engine sounded normal at first.
- {'label': 'Field', 'value': 'KSPG · Albert Whitted'}
- {'label': 'Runways', 'value': '7/25 · 18/36'}
- {'label': 'Elevation', 'value': '7 ft'}
- {'label': 'Aircraft', 'value': 'C150'}
- {'label': 'Dominant phase', 'value': 'Landing / Takeoff'}
The decision
Before we get into the decision tree — what do you already know about carburetor ice in the C150? (Pick all that apply; this records your baseline.)
What the record shows
What the NTSB files show
NTSB ERA25LA028 (2024): A Cessna 150H encountered carburetor ice at cruise altitude in conditions with 100% relative humidity and a temperature/dew point spread conducive to serious icing. The probable cause was the pilot's delayed use of carburetor heat while operating in icing conditions. The partial power loss forced a diversion and landing.
NTSB ANC25LA005 (2024): A Cessna 150 on initial climb experienced partial engine power loss due to carburetor ice formation in conditions with 70% relative humidity conducive to serious icing at glide power. The probable cause was the pilot's improper use of carburetor heat while operating on Mogas in icing conditions.
NTSB ERA24LA087 (2024): A Cessna 150M on a solo cross-country instructional flight experienced partial engine power loss due to carburetor icing when the student pilot failed to apply carburetor heat. The accident resulted in a runway excursion during the diversionary landing.
NTSB CEN21LA381 (2021): A Cessna 150 experienced partial engine power loss due to carburetor icing during takeoff near Wadsworth, Ohio, when the pilot failed to apply carburetor heat despite conditions in the moderate-to-serious icing range. The pilot made a forced landing to a corn field where the aircraft nosed over.
NTSB CEN23FA077 (2023, FATAL): A Cessna 150H on an instructional flight conducted a night visual approach in dark conditions with no cultural lighting. The aircraft descended below safe altitude and impacted a farm field short of the runway. The accident was attributed to loss of engine power due to carburetor icing and the flight instructor's failure to apply carburetor heat.
The local environment at KSPG makes this scenario particularly unforgiving: Runway 07's departure end is open water — Tampa Bay. An engine failure on the Runway 07 departure at low altitude is a ditching, not a field landing. There is no open field, no road, no park. The water is the off-field environment. This is not hypothetical; it is the NLCD ground cover off that runway end.
The real accidents cited above occurred at other airports and in other aircraft — NOT at Albert Whitted Airport. KSPG has its own accident history dominated by loss-of-control inflight and forced landings, but these specific carburetor ice events happened elsewhere. The scenario is localized to KSPG to make the off-field environment real and consequential for you as a student here.
The consistent thread across all these events: carburetor ice in the C150 is insidious. It builds gradually, the first symptom is roughness and a dropping tachometer (not a dramatic power cut), and by the time it is obvious, it may be too late for a comfortable recovery. The fix — full carburetor heat, immediately, at the first sign of roughness in conducive conditions — is simple. The failure is always a delay.
Key lesson — In warm, moist Gulf Coast air, the C150's carbureted Continental O-200-A can accumulate serious carburetor ice even at cruise power and above-freezing temperatures. Apply full carburetor heat at the first sign of engine roughness or unexplained RPM loss. At low altitude over water, the decision window is measured in seconds — not minutes. Off Runway 07 at KSPG, the off-field environment is Tampa Bay: a delayed response means a ditching, not a field landing.
Debrief — teaching points
Carburetor ice forms in conditions you would not expect.
The FAA icing probability chart shows 'serious icing at glide power' at temperatures between roughly 20°C and 30°C when relative humidity is high — exactly the Gulf Coast afternoon conditions at KSPG. You do not need visible ice, freezing temperatures, or IMC. Warm, moist air at reduced power is the classic carb-ice environment. The C150's Continental O-200-A is carbureted; it has no alternate air system. Carburetor heat is the only tool.
The first symptom is subtle — a dropping tachometer and engine roughness.
In a fixed-pitch airplane like the C150, carburetor ice first shows as engine roughness and an unexplained RPM decrease. There is no dramatic power cut. Pilots who are not actively monitoring the tachometer miss the early warning. By the time the roughness is obvious, significant ice has accumulated. Scan the tachometer as part of your regular instrument scan, especially in conducive conditions.
Apply full carburetor heat — not partial — and expect an initial RPM drop.
When you apply carb heat to an iced carburetor, the RPM will drop further before it rises. This is expected and normal: the heat is melting ice and the resulting water is briefly disrupting combustion. Do not remove carb heat when the RPM drops — that is the heat working. Hold it full on. The RPM will recover as the ice clears, typically within 15–30 seconds depending on ice accumulation. Partial carb heat can worsen the situation by partially melting ice into water ingestion without fully clearing the restriction.
At KSPG Runway 07, an engine failure on departure is a ditching.
The off-field environment off Runway 07's departure end (heading 062°) is open water — Tampa Bay. There is no alternate landing surface. If the engine quits on the Runway 07 departure and altitude is insufficient to return to the airport, the outcome is a ditching. This is not a worst-case scenario; it is the geographic reality. Best glide is 60 KIAS. Doors unlatched before water contact. Master off just before impact. Flaps for slowest possible touchdown speed — impact energy rises with the square of touchdown speed, so the slowest possible speed matters most. Know this before you line up on Runway 07.
The C150M's marginal climb and light wing loading demand respect on the base-to-final turn.
The C150M produces only 100 hp and has a best rate of climb (Vy) of 68 KIAS. At low altitude with partial power loss, the airplane is on the edge of its performance envelope. The light wing loading (roughly 5.5 lb/sq ft) makes it gust- and stall/spin-sensitive, especially on the base-to-final turn where a slip or stall in a bank is fatal. A controlled ditching at 60 KIAS best glide is survivable. A stall/spin at 300 ft AGL is not. Know the difference.
Built from the real accident record
Scenario built from NTSB ERA25LA028, ANC25LA005, ERA24LA087 (C150 carburetor ice / partial power loss), WPR21LA329, CEN21LA381, ERA21LA284 (C150 carb ice on takeoff / climb), and CEN23FA401, CEN23FA077 (C150 power loss / stall at low altitude). Localized to KSPG; real events occurred at other airports.
NTSB reports: ERA25LA028 · ANC25LA005 · ERA24LA087 · WPR21LA329 · CEN21LA381 · ERA21LA284 · CEN23FA401 · CEN23FA077
ACS tasks: PA.I.F — Weather Information · PA.I.G — Cross-Country Flight Planning · PA.IX.C — Emergency Approach and Landing · PA.I.H — Human Factors · PA.II.B — Engine Starting / Systems Preflight
Relevant FARs: §91.3 · §91.13 · §91.185
Step through the full decision tree, make the calls, and see where each choice leads — then debrief it with your CFI.
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